NATSUKI ARAI
Name NATSUKI ARAI
Email narai@nccu.edu.tw
Office Tel No. 81233
Teaching Field 總體經濟學、時間序列
Job Title Associate Professor
Year Paper Title
2020 荒井夏來*, 2020.10, 'Investigating the Inefficiency of the CBO's Budgetary Projections, ' International Journal of Forecasting, Vol.36, No.4, pp.1290-1300.(SSCI)(*為通訊作者), 425731
2017 荒井夏來*, 2017.06, 'The Effects of Monetary Policy Announcements at the Zero Lower Bound, ' International Journal of Central Banking, Vol.13, No.2, pp.159-196.(SSCI)(*為通訊作者), 410696
2016 荒井夏來*, 2016.08, 'Evaluating the Efficiency of the FOMC’s New Economic Projections, ' Jounal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol.48, No.5, pp.1019-1049.(SSCI)(*為通訊作者), 408248
2014 荒井夏來*, 2014.01, 'Using Forecast Evaluation to Improve the Accuracy of the Greenbook Forecast, ' International Journal of Forecasting, Vol.30, pp.12-19.(SSCI)(*為通訊作者), 407376
Year Paper Title
2022 荒井夏來*, 2022.07, 'The FOMC’s New Individual Economic Projections and Macroeconomic Theories, ' Seminar at Osaka University, Osaka University.(*為通訊作者)
2022 荒井夏來;Masashige Hamano;Munechika Katayama*;Yuki Murakami;Katsunori Yamada, 2022.03, 'Nightless City: Impacts of Policymakers’ Questions on Overtime Work of Government Officials, ' Online workshop “How to use cell phone location data”en/2022/03/18/13736/, Waseda University.(*為通訊作者)
2022 張翔*;荒井夏來, 2022.01, 'US Credit Spillovers to Small Open Economies: A Proxy-VAR Approach, ' Asian Meeting of Econometric Society, Keio University.(*為通訊作者)
2021 荒井夏來*, 2021.08, 'Does Working with a Future Executive Make Junior Employees More Likely to Be Promoted?, ' HIAS 2021, Hitotsubashi university.(*為通訊作者)
Project Category Year Project Title Participator Job Title Period Unit
MOST Projects 110 低利率環境之通貨膨脹預期分析(2/2) ARAI NATSUKI Principal Investigator 2022.08 ~ 2023.07 Ministry of Science and Technology
Other Projects 110 國際油價與商品價格對台灣消費者物價之影響效果 KUO BIING-SHEN,ARAI NATSUKI 2021.11 ~ 2023.01
MOST Projects 110 低利率環境之通貨膨脹預期分析(1/2) ARAI NATSUKI Principal Investigator 2021.08 ~ 2023.07 Ministry of Science and Technology
MOST Projects 109 補助科學與技術人員國外短期研究 荒井夏來 Principal Investigator 2020.01 ~ 2020.12 國立政治大學
MOST Projects 108 美國聯邦公開市場委員會個體經濟預測之分析(2/2) ARAI NATSUKI Principal Investigator 2020.08 ~ 2021.07 Ministry of Science and Technology
MOST Projects 108 美國聯邦公開市場委員會個體經濟預測之分析(1/2) ARAI NATSUKI Principal Investigator 2019.08 ~ 2021.07 Ministry of Science and Technology
Other Projects 108 國際學術交流與合作活動補助 荒井夏來 Principal Investigator 2019.07 ~ 2020.06
MOST Projects 106 非傳統金融政策的國際溢出效應：來自台灣的證據(2/2) ARAI NATSUKI Principal Investigator 2018.08 ~ 2019.08 Ministry of Science and Technology
MOST Projects 106 非傳統金融政策的國際溢出效應：來自台灣的證據(1/2) ARAI NATSUKI,ARAI NATSUKI Principal Investigator 2017.08 ~ 2019.08 Ministry of Science and Technology
MOST Projects 105 有限樣本下預測合理性檢定的性質評估 ARAI NATSUKI Principal Investigator 2016.08 ~ 2017.07 Ministry of Science and Technology
MOST Projects 104 調查預測無效率之原因：政治壓力與誤解 ARAI NATSUKI Principal Investigator 2015.08 ~ 2016.07 Ministry of Science and Technology
Country Duration
UNITED STATES 2008.09 ~ 2015.01
UNITED STATES 2008.09 ~ 2011.05
JAPAN 2003.04 ~ 2005.03
Experience Category Organization Title Department Job Title Duration
Current NATIONAL CHENGCHI UNIVERSITY 國際經營與貿易學系 副教授 2022.01 ~ Up to today
Current NATIONAL CHENGCHI UNIVERSITY 國際經營與貿易學系 副教授 2021.08 ~ 2021.09
Current NATIONAL CHENGCHI UNIVERSITY 國際經營與貿易學系 助理教授 2015.02 ~ 2021.08
Honor Category Year Award Name Awarding Unit
Outside School 110 國科會研究獎勵 科技部(國科會)
Outside School 109 研究獎勵補助 科技部
Outside School 109 國科會研究獎勵 科技部(國科會)
Outside School 107 指導大專學生研究計畫榮獲研究創作獎 科技部
Outside School 107 學士班英語專業績優課程 國際合作事務處
Outside School 106 學士班英語專業績優課程 國際合作事務處
Outside School 106 優秀年輕學者研究計畫 科技部